Breeding Grounds for Terrorism and Transnational Crime

As the U.S. is withdrawing from Iraq and Afghanistan, and the Department of Defense and Pentagon are cutting excess programs, security analysts are faced with the challenge of doing more with less.  How can the U.S. best use its resources, military, and intelligence tools to focus in on the major threats to U.S. national security?

Fine tuning what too look for and where to look for it is key to this process.  A team of analysts at Syracuse University’s Global Black Spots—Mapping Global Insecurity Project (GBS-MGI) is developing a new research methodology that goes beyond the traditional state level analysis to find “Black Spots,” or areas of insecurity that are beyond government control.  The team probes the local-level characteristics of a region using open source information to determine where terrorism and transnational crime may develop in the future.  Their findings provide a map of global insecurity that is being applied by U.S. intelligence agencies.

The Summer 2011 issue of the National Strategy Forum Review shares this process with our readers.  The case studies below are a sample of the estimated 600+ Black Spots operating around the globe.  This unique research demonstrates that traditional security analysis must add a deeper, more local component to the search for future security threats.

“Black Spots:” Breeding Grounds for Terrorism and Transnational Crime

Summer 2011: Volume 20, Issue 3

Publisher’s Note

Global Black Spots: Threats from Governance without Governments
By Dr. Bartosz Hieronim Stanislawski

El Arish and the Sinai Peninsula Underworld, Egypt
By Ioana Emilia Matesan and John Gay

The Role of Guinea Bissau in Global Insecurity Flows
By Laura Nash

The Wa State, Burma
By Kathryn Theobald and Hui Hui Ooi

“The Most Dangerous Place on Earth:” FATA Area, Pakistan
By Umar Riaz

Why the Frankfurt Terrorist Shooting is Taking Our Eye Off the Ball in Albania
By Matt Kavgian and Amela Kraja

The Case of Scampia and Secondigliano, Italy
By Egon Donnarumma

Akwesasne: A Complex Challenge to U.S. Northern Border Security
By Bree Spencer

Book Review: Why Leaders Lie–The Truth About Lying in International Politics
Reviewed by Arthur I. Cyr

Download the entire Summer 2011 NSFR.


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